A Framework to Predict Community Risk from Severe Weather Threats Using Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI)

From Hazard to Risk

Using Wind Data to Predict the Risk of Volcanic Eruption: An Example from Damavand Volcano, Iran

Damavand volcano is located 60 km to the East North- East of Tehran. It is a dormant stratovolcano outcrop in the Alborz Mountains of northern Iran and is the highest mountain (5670 m) in the Middle East and West Asia. Mazandaran Province, one of the most populous provinces by population density, Semnan and Gorgan provinces further east are neighbours of the Damavand. Volcanism in Damavand goes...

Community Epidemiology Framework for Classifying Disease Threats

Recent evidence suggests that most parasites can infect multiple host species and that these are primarily responsible for emerging infectious disease outbreaks in humans and wildlife. However, the ecologic and evolutionary factors that constrain or facilitate such emergences are poorly understood. We propose a conceptual framework based on the pathogen's between- and within-species transmissio...

A Probabilistic Analysis Framework for Malicious Insider Threats

Malicious insider threats are difficult to detect and to mitigate. Many approaches for explaining behaviour exist, but there is little work to relate them to formal approaches to insider threat detection. In this work we present a general formal framework to perform analysis for malicious insider threats, based on probabilistic modelling, verification, and synthesis techniques. The framework fi...

Hazard/Risk Assessment HAZARD ASSESSMENT OF TEMEPHOS APPLIED TO A SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, USA, SALT MARSH COMMUNITY

This investigation was undertaken to determine whether the mosquito larvicide temephos (applied as Abate 4-Et) created an environmental hazard for nontarget organisms in a southwest Florida salt marsh community. Field toxicity tests were performed during routine larvicide applications using larvae of salt marsh crabs (Aratus pesonii and Uca rapax) and adult Mysidopsis bahia. Laboratory toxicity...